Texas capital

Texas Capital (TCBI) lags first-quarter earnings and revenue estimates

Texas Capital (TCBI) exited with quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share, missing Zacks consensus estimate of $0.73 per share. That compares to earnings of $1.33 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents a profit surprise of -5.48%. A quarter ago, this holding company of Texas Capital Bank was expected to post a profit of $0.91 per share when it actually produced a profit of $1.19, delivering a surprise 30 .77%.

In the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates twice.

Texas Capital, which is industry-owned Zacks Banks – Southwest, reported revenue of $203.83 million for the quarter ended March 2022, missing Zacks’ consensus estimate by 5.23%. That compares to revenues of $239.17 million a year ago. The company has exceeded consensus revenue estimates only once in the past four quarters.

The sustainability of the immediate stock price movement based on recently released numbers and future earnings forecasts will primarily depend on management’s comments on the earnings call.

Texas Capital shares have lost about 3.5% year-to-date against the -6.4% decline in the S&P 500.

What’s next for Texas Capital?

With Texas Capital outperforming the market so far this year, the question on investors’ minds is: what’s next for the stock?

There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable metric that can help investors answer it is the company’s earnings outlook. This includes not only current consensus earnings expectations for the upcoming quarter(s), but also how those expectations have changed recently.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between short-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track these revisions on their own or rely on a proven scoring tool like Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Prior to this publication of the results, the trend of revisions of estimates for Texas Capital: favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions may change following the release of the company’s earnings report, the current situation results in a Zacks No. 2 (buy) ranking for the stock. Thus, stocks are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the full list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how the estimates for the next few quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $0.81 on $227.64 million in revenue for the upcoming quarter and $3.43 on $942.54 million in revenue for the current fiscal year.

Investors should be aware that the outlook for the sector can also have a significant impact on stock performance. In terms of Zacks industry rankings, Banks – Southwest is currently in the top 4% of Zacks 250+ industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of industries ranked by Zacks outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

Another stock in the same sector, Southside Bancshares (SBSI), has yet to report its results for the quarter ending March 2022. The results are expected to be released on April 26.

This Southside Bank holding company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.69 per share in its next report, representing a year-over-year change of -34.9%. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised up 1.4% in the past 30 days from the current level.

Southside Bancshares revenue is expected to be $62.45 million, down 0.7% from the prior year quarter.

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Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc. (TCBI): Free Share Analysis Report

Southside Bancshares, Inc. (SBSI): Free Stock Analysis Report

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