Vergil Ortiz Jr. makes his 2022 debut on Saturday as he takes on the undefeated Michael McKinson from Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas. The event can be seen worldwide, live and exclusively on DAZN.
As always, many bets can be made with a big boxing card. Let’s take a look at some of them.
Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Michael McKinson Odds
Vergil Ortiz Jr: -1000
Michael McKinson: +650
(All odds via BetMGM)
BetMGM (from Wednesday August 3rd) have installed Ortiz as a big favorite – coming in at -1000, meaning you’d have to bet $1000 just to win $100. Meanwhile, McKinson is the underdog at +650, which means if you pick $100 you’ll win $650 if the Brit can score the upset and ruin the potential big fights looming for Ortiz.
Ortiz and McKinson were scheduled to face off in March, but during fight week Ortiz had to pull out after being diagnosed with rhabdomyolysis. McKinson (22-0, 2 KOs) stayed on the show and defeated Alex Martin via unanimous decision. The Briton is delighted to have the opportunity that seemed to slip through his fingers.
“I get what I deserve,” McKinson said in a press release. “I was ready to fight Ortiz, Jr. before; now i have the opportunity again to prove that i am the best in this division.
Ortiz was last seen in the ring in an eighth-round TKO victory over former welterweight title challenger Egidijus “Mean Machine” Kavaliauskas in August 2021, which saw the 24-year-old will years tested for the first time. However, he is healthy and ready to show the boxing world that he is ready to compete for his first world title.
Prediction Vergil Ortiz Jr. vs. Michael McKinson
On paper, this seems like a cakewalk for Ortiz. Although undefeated in 22 fights, McKinson did not face close competition from Ortiz. In his last three fights, Ortiz has beaten and stopped Samuel Vargas, former world champion Maurice Hooker and Kavaliauskas.
McKinson is a pure boxer, which is evident by the fact that he only has two knockouts. On the other side, Ortiz is a powerful puncher but has developed his all-around skills in his last three fights. Still, the 24-year-old finished all 18 opponents.
It makes sense to say that Ortiz is continuing his streak, but McKinson will test his patience. We are going to learn how far Ortiz has come since his last fight in August 2021. McKinson is not going to jump in there, make a mistake and try to make it a firefight. He’ll stick to what he knows. The 28-year-old is not a power puncher and he knows it. Why jump into the fire if it’s not necessary?
Ortiz must remain patient. Yes, McKinson doesn’t have the power to put him out, but Ortiz pulled out of his last fight and making 147 pounds is getting harder for him. If he struggles with his weight cut, he could be exhausted enough that McKinson’s shots could affect him as the fight goes on.
Unless you have an obscene amount of money or are bored, putting any currency on Ortiz to win is a bad game. Ortiz by decision (+300) is the best game here. McKinson’s style will make it difficult for Ortiz to get the save, and going the distance isn’t the worst thing in the world for him because, as he continues to step forward in opposition, the likelihood of a KO decreases. Adjusting your body to these championship rounds is a great opportunity for Ortiz to show he’s more than a one-trick pony going forward.
Muehlhausen’s choice: Virgil Ortiz
Best odds: Ortiz per decision +300
More Ortiz vs. McKinson odds
method of victory
Ortiz by KO/TKO/Technical Decision or DQ: -275
Ortiz on points: +300
McKinson by KO/TKO/Technical Decision or DQ: +2000
McKinson on the points: +900